The Ambitious Trader: Stocks, Trading, Investing..My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

This is a one way ticket that takes you on a wonderful journey into the vast world that is the stock market through my eyes, my point of view.

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Stock Picks and Trade Ideas for Monday

New Buy Candidates: NUS, PHTN

New Short Sale Candidates: PANL

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11 Comments:

At 10:30 PM , Blogger Yre said...

bsc for 2dols.. was 100+ few weeks ago.. god save the market. Go short LEH

 
At 1:10 AM , Blogger Nick M. said...

Yre,

Its really hard to believe how hard BSC has been hit, but this is the reality of it all. The credit crisis created a big problem that the Fed and the public have not come to realize yet. I will be bullish on the market when the Fed starts raising the interest rate. For now, they can try and cut it all they want. As long as they cut, the economy is in bad shape. Shorting LEH may not be such a bad idea. Surely BSC is not the only institution that is hiding dirt under its rugs. I am sure most of the investment banks are in big trouble. MS is another one to short

 
At 1:11 AM , Blogger Nick M. said...

Funny thing is that I was short BSC back in August. I know I shouldn't have covered. Had I held on, I would have gained a near 100% return on a short position. Just my luck!

 
At 10:53 AM , Blogger Chad said...

...2$ a share for Bear Sterns! Incredible. This company weathered the Great Depression and reaches back 80 plus years. Good Grief.

But who's making out here? Ole' Pierpoint Morgan's namesake is taking on their sub-prime exposure risk, sure, but gaining a brand new building (probably valued over 1,000 dollars per square foot), and an entire additon to their banking system for garage sale prices. What an incredible piece of news...

 
At 12:28 PM , Blogger Yre said...

kbx sure is on fire for now. Got in at 1.20.. not sure if it is time to jump out or add more...

 
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At 9:28 PM , Blogger Yre said...

No Movement in ANF.. been a long wait ..

 
At 11:30 PM , Blogger Nick M. said...

Guys,

Its been a crazy day. The one big highlight of course was the Bear Stearns News. I hope none of you got hurt from it. Then again, I know that my readers are smarter than that and I know that none of you try to catch falling knives. BSC's fall was very predictable and obvious since the begining of the Subprime Crisis when they announced that they had to shut down 2 of their hedge funds. That was a big red flag from the get-go.

 
At 11:34 PM , Blogger Nick M. said...

KBX looks ok for now. With the current volatility and low dollar-high gold scenario, KBX should fare just fine.
And yes, ANF is a slow mover. ABAX has been a slow mover for me as well but it finally moved a bit today. DRYS is moving lower a bit quicker for me. I have to stress that patience is key, especially with short positions. You have to look at the overall trend and be patient with it. If the trend is down, it will continue to be down unless a high power, high volume move to the upside occurs and the stock reclaims its major SMA's. Untill this happens, ANF is still a short candidate in my book.

 
At 8:42 AM , Blogger Chad said...

I see pivoting in the news...
One major financial institute goes belly up and another beats expectations the next day (GS). Sentiment is changing. ...housing numbers flat. Media seems more apt to take 1/2 point rather than full...
It's like a great cup of coffee: Nice and comforting ;)

-Chad.

 
At 1:37 PM , Blogger Nick M. said...

Chad,

Although todays news is positive, I still feel that we have a while to go before the market can really start a fresh, new uptrend. Now is a good time to keep an eye on the market and to be on the look out for stocks that are setting up strong, solid bases. These stocks that are finally bottoming and setting themselves up nicely will be the next bull markets big winners. I don't think we will bottom until everyone is afraid to buy stocks and everyone wants to short. When that happens, then we'll know that the worst is over. Until then, anything can happen. Just my 2 cents.

 

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